Bitcoin news tone (GDELT)
Whether global news coverage of Bitcoin is, on balance, positive or negative right now.
The Oracle samples global news coverage of Bitcoin (via GDELT and crypto headlines) and condenses its average tone. It is a noisy, contextual signal — news is often already priced in — so it is used only as one humble input among several, never to make a confident directional call.
Recent readings
News tone +0.00 (more positive than 3-day avg -0.63)
| Observed | Value | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 08:45 AM UTC | 0 | News tone +0.00 (more positive than 3-day avg -0.63) |
| Oct 19, 04:15 AM UTC | 0 | News tone +0.00 (more positive than 3-day avg -0.48) |
| Oct 18, 09:00 PM UTC | 0.2677 | News tone +0.27 (more positive than 3-day avg -0.52) |
| Oct 18, 03:45 PM UTC | 0 | News tone +0.00 (more positive than 3-day avg -0.44) |
| Oct 18, 01:00 PM UTC | 0.3054 | News tone +0.31 (more positive than 3-day avg -0.44) |
| Oct 18, 09:15 AM UTC | -2.3204 | News tone -2.32 (more negative than 3-day avg -0.40) |
| Oct 18, 04:45 AM UTC | -3.4663 | News tone -3.47 (more negative than 3-day avg -0.38) |
| Oct 17, 08:15 AM UTC | -1.5102 | News tone -1.51 (more negative than 3-day avg -0.36) |
| Oct 16, 04:00 PM UTC | -0.364 | News tone -0.36 (more negative than 3-day avg -0.08) |
| Oct 16, 08:45 AM UTC | -0.1149 | News tone -0.11 (more negative than 3-day avg -0.02) |
| Oct 16, 05:15 AM UTC | 0 | News tone +0.00 (more positive than 3-day avg -0.17) |
| Oct 15, 11:00 PM UTC | 0 | News tone +0.00 (more positive than 3-day avg -0.01) |
| Oct 15, 09:45 PM UTC | -0.4121 | News tone -0.41 (more negative than 3-day avg -0.00) |
| Oct 15, 02:15 PM UTC | -3.2901 | News tone -3.29 (more negative than 3-day avg +0.60) |
How the Oracle uses it
This is one signal among several, never a directional call on its own. The forecast starts as plain math (a GJR-GARCH volatility model); the signal is read each hour as context, and Claude may make small, hard-capped adjustments to the range and confidence — it can't swing the guess wildly. Every forecast is then scored openly against a random-walk benchmark, so you can judge the result rather than trust it. See the accuracy record and the full methodology.
The other signals
- · Crypto Fear & Greed Index — A 0–100 gauge of crypto market sentiment, where low = fear and high = greed.
- · Bitcoin perpetual funding rate — The periodic fee leveraged perp traders pay; positive means longs pay shorts (crowded long).
- · Bitcoin open interest — The total value of outstanding leveraged futures positions — how much “fuel” is riding on price moves.
- · Bitcoin implied volatility (Deribit DVOL) — The options market's forward-looking estimate of how much Bitcoin will move (annualised %).